The Hundred-Year Marathon

The Hundred-Year Marathon: China’s Secret Strategy to Replace America as the Global Superpower MP3 CD – Audiobook, April 1, 2015
Author: Visit ‘s Michael Pillsbury Page ID: 1504620089

Review

#1 National Bestseller

“Chinas ambition to become the worlds dominant power has been there all along, virtually burned into the countrys cultural DNA and hiding, as [Pillsbury] says, in plain sight The author is correct to assert that China constitutes, by far, the biggest national challenge to Americas position in the world today.”The Wall Street Journal

“Provocative. detailed and rigorous. [Pillsbury is] right that for Washington, assessing the nature of Chinas ambition, and responding to it effectively, may be the central foreign policy challenge of our time.”Newsweek

“Pungently written and rich in detail, this book deserves to enter the mainstream of
debate over the future of U.S. Chinese relations.”Foreign Affairs

“The Hundred-Year Marathon looks at the critical issues of who is in fact making policy in the Chinese capital and, as a result, it will be read, analyzed and debated for years. Think of Pillsbury as our times Paul Revere.”Gordon Chang, The National Interest

“This is a highly engaging and thought-provoking read. It does what few books do well, and that is to mix scholarship, policy, and memoir-style writing in an accessible but still intellectually rich fashion. . . . Pillsbury . . . draw[s] on his extensive knowledge of Chinese historical military writings and theory as well as his interactions with Chinese defectors and senior military officers to develop a compelling analytical defense of this thesis. . . . In the end, whether you agree with Pillsbury or not, the book is well worth a careful read.”Elizabeth Economy, Council on Foreign Relations

“Despite dealing with a weighty subject, Pillsbury says everything that he wants to say . . . [in] this highly readable book. It deserves to be widely read and debated.”The Christian Science Monitor

“Pillsburys scholarship is buttressed by an eye-popping amount of declassified material. Pillsburys key claim [is] that China is methodically undertaking a hundred-year marathon strategy to displace the United States as the global hegemon The time is ripe to examine the trajectory of American relations with the worlds second-largest economy [and] the marathon is hardly over.”The Weekly Standard

“Following the Communist victory in the Chinese civil war, Americans agonized over Who lost China? If we do not recognize the Chinese party-state for the predatory animal that it is, in 20 years the question we will be asking ourselves is Who lost the world? The answer will be, We did.”The Washington Times

“A presentation of Chinas hidden agenda grounded in the authors longtime work at the U.S. Defense Department. Fodder for concerned thought.”Kirkus Reviews

“This is without question the most important book written about Chinese strategy and foreign policy in years. Michael Pillsbury has spent more than four decades for the Pentagon and the CIA talking to and learning from a core of Chinese hard-liners who may be the driving force behind Chinese foreign policy today under Xi Jinping. Based on meticulous scholarship and written in lively, engaging prose, this book offers a sobering corrective to what has long been the dominant, soothing narrative of Sino-American cooperation.”Robert Kagan, author of The World America Made and Of Paradise and Power

“A provocative exploration of the historical sources of Chinas grand strategy to become #1.”Graham Allison, Director of Harvard Kennedy Schools Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

“Michael Pillsbury has been meeting with, talking to, and studying the hawks in Chinas military and intelligence apparatus for more than four decades, since back when America and China were cooperating against the Soviet Union. In this fascinating, provocative new book, he lays out the hawks views about the United States and their long-term strategies for overcoming American power by the middle of this century. In the process, the book challenges the wrong-headed assumptions in Washington about a gradually reforming China. Given the direction China has been taking in the past few years, Pillsburys book takes on immediate relevance.”James Mann, author of About Face: A History of Americas Curious Relationship with China, The China Fantasy, and Beijing Jeep

“The Hundred-Year Marathon is based on work that Michael Pillsbury did for the CIA that landed him the Directors Exceptional Performance Award. It is a fascinating chronicle of his odyssey from the ranks of the panda-huggers to a principled, highly informed, and lonely stance alerting us to Chinas long-term strategy of achieving dominance. He shows that we face a clever, entrenched, and ambitious potential enemy, suffused with the shrewdness of Sun Tzu conducting a determined search for the best way to sever our Achilles heel. We have vital work to do, urgently.”R. James Woolsey, former Director of Central Intelligence and chairman of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies

–This text refers to the Hardcover edition.

About the Author

Michael Pillsbury is the director of the Center on Chinese Strategy at the Hudson Institute and has served in presidential administrations from Richard Nixon to Barack Obama. Educated at Stanford and Columbia Universities, he is a former analyst at the RAND Corporation and research fellow at Harvard and has served in senior positions in the Defense Department and on the staff of four U.S. Senate committees. He is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations and the International Institute for Strategic Studies. He lives in Washington, D.C.

–This text refers to the Hardcover edition.

MP3 CD: 1 pagesPublisher: Blackstone Audio, Inc.; Unabridged MP3CD edition (April 1, 2015)Language: EnglishISBN-10: 1504620089ISBN-13: 978-1504620086 Product Dimensions: 7.4 x 5.3 x 0.6 inches Shipping Weight: 1.6 ounces (View shipping rates and policies) Best Sellers Rank: #880,926 in Books (See Top 100 in Books) #843 in Books > Politics & Social Sciences > Politics & Government > International & World Politics > Diplomacy
Author Pillsbury is fluent in Mandarin and has been involved in U.S.-China government issues over a forty-year timespan. One of his central themes is that hawks in China have successfully persuaded that nation’s leadership to view the U.S. as dangerous, and entity that it must replace. (Seems like the U.S. has the same view of China, as witnessed by our recent ‘China pivot.’) In fact, two Chinese colonels have written a book recommending that China use ‘asymmetrical warfare, including terrorism, to attack the U.S.’ That book also referenced ‘the Hundred-Year Marathon.’

Obviously that would not be good for either China or the U.S. Thus, Pillsbury contends that we must rid ourselves of false assumptions about China. The biggest is that ‘engagement’ (eg. trade, cultural exchanges) would induce Beijing to both cooperate with the West on a wide range of policy problems, and to move down the road to democracy. Neither has proven true. A second – that China no longer embraces mercantilism; reality is that it maintains a system of high tariffs, maintains direct control of natural resources, and protects domestic manufacturing – all the while building up its monetary reserves.

Pillsbury also insists that Americans realize that China has a strong interest in avenging a century of humiliation by the West – beginning with the Opium Wars. Reality is that China plans to supplant the West as the next global economic, military, and political power, and to accomplish that by 2049, 100 years after the CCP takeover of China. Further, this will be accomplished through stealth. (‘Induce complacency to avoid alerting your opponent, manipulate your opponent’s advisers, be patient – for decades or longer, to achieve victory, steal your opponent’s ideas and technology for strategic purposes.
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